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Originally Posted by Toby Lang
Well, to me an R/U is an R/U no matter how many cars there are. So, an R/U at a D2 LODRS would have earned you $500 ($600 at a D1 event.)
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While that's a positive attitude I appreciate, it is not statistically correct. I won (if you want to call it that) 3 rounds to get the R/U ($500). My chances of winning just 3 consecutive rounds is nearly double that of winning 5 rounds to R/U. Every round more that you have to go, you have to add a factor of your round-win percentage. The more rounds in a race, the less chance you have of winning it.
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I guess the question is then, how much would you have earned last weekend if it were a six round race and you went out in the third round?
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To be honest, I don't know that I would've traveled 13hrs if I thought it was going to be a 6-round race. Historically, I knew that Super Stock at this event was likely to be a 3-round or 4-round race tops, which made the risk of the significant travel expenses worth the gamble, particularly with the race being a Wild Card claim and Sunday being a TOC Qualifier with National Event level contingency. It certainly wouldn't be a cakewalk with the quality of drivers that comprised the limited field, but the odds still play out favorably. While the weekend could've turned out better, the R/U kept the losses at a minimum, and I come out with a 35 point lead in Div. 2 SS, helping me toward a TOC Qualifier spot and potentially a Div. Championship which would be another $1,500 and a Gold Card. This is one of the few years that I haven't had a gold card, something that would've turned this weekend's venture into the plus side.
That being said, if you wish to compare round money only...
IHRA Div. 2
3rd round loss = $80 (-$55 less than entry)
4th round loss = $120 (-$15 less than entry, assuming 17+ cars)
5th round loss = $160 (+$25 more than entry)
NHRA Div. 2
3rd round loss = $100 (-$60 less than entry)
4th round loss = $125 (-$35 less than entry)
5th round loss = $150 (-$10 less than entry)
...not a *huge* difference in the big scheme of things, but the travel expenses and days off work make NHRA racing significantly more expensive. NHRA's contingency program is significantly better, which is one of the primary reasons why I will be running some.