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Old 12-01-2007, 11:27 AM   #10
Tony Curcio
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Location: West Chester, PA
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Default Re: Word is 1.15 under for AHFS at Opens and Divisional races

1.15 under will seem ridiculously soft in another 3 to 5 years. When AHFS started gathering stats in 2001, it was relatively rare. This is the real problem with a fixed and apparently arbitrary benchmark.

It wasn't that long ago that only the top 10 or 15 cars qualified at 1.00 under or more. This year, I distinctly remember running .99 under at a divisional somewhere, and finding myself below 50th in a full field.

If the trigger point is too low, it discourages performance, too high it it doesn't correct HP. The trigger point needs to move along with the racers' capabilities.

A statistical average, median, or bell-curve will fix this. The more runs that are included, the better it will work.
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