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Old 04-26-2020, 09:44 PM   #1
Stewart Way
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Default Re: First four LODRS races postponed

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Originally Posted by Don Kennedy View Post
curious can You post some information about this C19 being more contagious than the flu that happens every year
If you look up the R-naught value of the common flu it is about 1.3 and the R-naught of Corvid-19 was at the lowest number I could find above 2. At 1.3 the common flu would infect around 14 people after 10 cycles of contact. Covid-19 at 2 with the same cycles of contact is 1024. Then throw in the fact that there is no "herd Immunity" for Covid-19 and you have a way more contagious flu.
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:41 AM   #2
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Default Re: First four LODRS races postponed

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If you look up the R-naught value of the common flu it is about 1.3 and the R-naught of Corvid-19 was at the lowest number I could find above 2. At 1.3 the common flu would infect around 14 people after 10 cycles of contact. Covid-19 at 2 with the same cycles of contact is 1024. Then throw in the fact that there is no "herd Immunity" for Covid-19 and you have a way more contagious flu.
Stewart,

I see that the CDC said they saw median numbers for R0 for COVID-19 at 5.7.

I would think that just by observation one would notice that COVID-19 is more contagious and more deadly than the seasonal flu.

Respectfully,
Bill
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Old 04-27-2020, 01:10 PM   #3
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Stewart,

I see that the CDC said they saw median numbers for R0 for COVID-19 at 5.7.

I would think that just by observation one would notice that COVID-19 is more contagious and more deadly than the seasonal flu.

Respectfully,
Bill
says who

Infections
COVID-19: Approximately 2,994,640 cases worldwide; 965,933 cases in the U.S. as of Apr. 27, 2020.*

Flu: Estimated 1 billion cases worldwide; 9.3 million to 45 million cases in the U.S. per year.

Deaths
COVID-19: Approximately 206,811 deaths reported worldwide; 54,877 deaths in the U.S., as of Apr. 27, 2020.*

Flu: 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide; 12,000 to 61,000 deaths in the U.S. per year.

https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/heal...019-vs-the-flu
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Old 04-27-2020, 02:44 PM   #4
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Default Re: First four LODRS races postponed

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says who

Infections
COVID-19: Approximately 2,994,640 cases worldwide; 965,933 cases in the U.S. as of Apr. 27, 2020.*

Flu: Estimated 1 billion cases worldwide; 9.3 million to 45 million cases in the U.S. per year.

Deaths
COVID-19: Approximately 206,811 deaths reported worldwide; 54,877 deaths in the U.S., as of Apr. 27, 2020.*

Flu: 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide; 12,000 to 61,000 deaths in the U.S. per year.

https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/heal...019-vs-the-flu
The flu season lasts approximately 6 months and it kills about 50,000 people per year in the U.S. Covid-19 has killed close to 55,000 people in a little over 6 weeks! It's like comparing apples and oranges!
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Old 04-27-2020, 06:33 PM   #5
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The flu season lasts approximately 6 months and it kills about 50,000 people per year in the U.S. Covid-19 has killed close to 55,000 people in a little over 6 weeks! It's like comparing apples and oranges!
no one knows that either
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Old 04-28-2020, 04:02 PM   #6
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Default Re: First four LODRS races postponed

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no one knows that either
I guess you know more than the CDC.
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Old 04-29-2020, 06:02 PM   #7
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I guess you know more than the CDC.
never said that but if you look at the numbers and the video i posted above the data is there.

So many of you are steered by the media hype.
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Old 04-27-2020, 03:00 PM   #8
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Default Re: First four LODRS races postponed

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Originally Posted by AC View Post
says who

Infections
COVID-19: Approximately 2,994,640 cases worldwide; 965,933 cases in the U.S. as of Apr. 27, 2020.*

Flu: Estimated 1 billion cases worldwide; 9.3 million to 45 million cases in the U.S. per year.

Deaths
COVID-19: Approximately 206,811 deaths reported worldwide; 54,877 deaths in the U.S., as of Apr. 27, 2020.*

Flu: 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide; 12,000 to 61,000 deaths in the U.S. per year.

https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/heal...019-vs-the-flu

Interesting how you did not post the next paragraph in that article.


Quote:

The COVID-19 situation is changing rapidly. Since this disease is caused by a new virus, people do not have immunity to it, and a vaccine may be many months away. Doctors and scientists are working on estimating the mortality rate of COVID-19, but at present, it is thought to be higher than that of most strains of the flu.

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Old 04-27-2020, 03:45 PM   #9
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Default Re: First four LODRS races postponed

The covid-19 virus has been with us 16 weeks , if you have one of those democrat gov. over reacting,your state might not be racing this year.
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Old 04-27-2020, 04:22 PM   #10
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The covid-19 virus has been with us 16 weeks , if you have one of those democrat gov. over reacting,your state might not be racing this year.
And if you have one of those Republican Governors you may not be living by the end of this year. There would be thousands more Covid 19 deaths without the stay at home orders by competent Govenors.
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