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Old 08-25-2021, 04:41 PM   #1
Dragrac419
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

Can help with some of the missing runs. I love numbers and thanks for putting this together.

K103 D/S Kyle Kohr '68 Camaro 10.624 11.5 -0.876
3744 F/S Bob Gipson '65 Corvette 11.171 12.1 -0.929
1788 A/SA Bruce Noland '71 Corvette 9.943 11 -1.057
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Old 08-25-2021, 06:50 PM   #2
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

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Can help with some of the missing runs. I love numbers and thanks for putting this together.

K103 D/S Kyle Kohr '68 Camaro 10.624 11.5 -0.876
3744 F/S Bob Gipson '65 Corvette 11.171 12.1 -0.929
1788 A/SA Bruce Noland '71 Corvette 9.943 11 -1.057
This data is OLD NEWS ….Bob hasn’t had the Corvette in years AND Bruce is building a very rare Pontiac stocker. I can’t wait for Bruce to hit the track …
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Old 08-25-2021, 07:02 PM   #3
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

Sure was fun to look at, thanks George.
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Old 08-25-2021, 10:00 PM   #4
james schaechter
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

[QUOTE=Dragrac419;646309]Can help with some of the missing runs. I love numbers and thanks for putting this together.

K103 D/S Kyle Kohr '68 Camaro 10.624 11.5 -0.876
3744 F/S Bob Gipson '65 Corvette 11.171 12.1 -0.929
1788 A/SA Bruce Noland '71 Corvette 9.943 11 -1.057[

Bob Gipson is bringing a brand new 65 Nova 327 250 hp stick car.
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Old 08-25-2021, 10:44 PM   #5
rboyle
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

I think the data is off a tick or two. There are 20 cars going faster than -1.20 which is highly unlikely. Some of them you have going faster than ghey ever have some slower than usual. I give you credit though. It is impressive and I'm sure there was a ton of work put into it. The bump is probably close to right though. We'll see in less than a week. Good luck all!
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Old 08-26-2021, 03:25 PM   #6
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

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I think the data is off a tick or two. There are 20 cars going faster than -1.20 which is highly unlikely. Some of them you have going faster than ghey ever have some slower than usual. I give you credit though. It is impressive and I'm sure there was a ton of work put into it. The bump is probably close to right though. We'll see in less than a week. Good luck all!
20 cars going faster than -1.20 is not "unlikely". I am attaching an updated list of where the best runs were recorded. Most were from previous US Nationals and National Opens (no AHFS).

So give me some actual examples from the last 3 years to show me who is being reported as "slower than usual".
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Old 08-26-2021, 05:03 PM   #7
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

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20 cars going faster than -1.20 is not "unlikely". I am attaching an updated list of where the best runs were recorded. Most were from previous US Nationals and National Opens (no AHFS).

So give me some actual examples from the last 3 years to show me who is being reported as "slower than usual".
I only see 1 or 2 that would take the hit to be number 1. ...The rest know better, and their cars will mysteriously swallow some lead.
I'm not counting the F/X cars. First off I don't know most of them, and assume they will open the throttle body a little farther if they get a hit.
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Old 08-26-2021, 06:56 PM   #8
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

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Originally Posted by George Wright View Post
20 cars going faster than -1.20 is not "unlikely". I am attaching an updated list of where the best runs were recorded. Most were from previous US Nationals and National Opens (no AHFS).

So give me some actual examples from the last 3 years to show me who is being reported as "slower than usual".
George if you believe more than 2 - 3 stockers will go faster than 1.20 under with the AHFS in affect, …well I have some PRIME ocean front property in KENTUCKY that I will GLADLY sell you ….
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Old 08-27-2021, 11:53 AM   #9
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

I think some folks on that list would have to have a bomb strapped to them to run 1.20 under!

That being said this is an interesting exercise and I will be more interested in how well the qualifying positions track to the predictions more than the under the index numbers.
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Old 08-27-2021, 12:20 PM   #10
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Default Re: Stock and Super Stock Qualifying Predictions

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I think some folks on that list would have to have a bomb strapped to them to run 1.20 under!

That being said this is an interesting exercise and I will be more interested in how well the qualifying positions track to the predictions more than the under the index numbers.
Exactly. My motivation for doing this was really to get a sense of where everyone should fall into the qualifying order and who/what the bump would be, not to predict the ETs.
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